Saturday, April 27, 2019

The 5-Minute Fix: Joe Biden in perspective

The Washington Post
Democracy Dies in Darkness
The 5-Minute Fix
Keeping up with politics is easy now
By Amber Phillips

Former vice president Joe Biden is running for president again. He's the highest-ranking and one of the highest profile candidates of the 20 Democrats running for president. But there are reasons to be cautious about assuming he's the front-runner, says The Fix's Aaron Blake. Why?

He's failed before: His past two presidential campaigns (in 1989 and 2008) ran into the mud after a plagiarism scandal and gaffes, respectively. In 2019, he's still pretty quick to make a gaffe; he recently joked about hugging women after seven accused him of touching them in ways that made them feel uncomfortable. Speaking of ...

Former vice president Joe Biden at a pizzeria in Delaware on Thursday after announcing he's running for president. (Jessica Griffin/The Philadelphia Inquirer via AP)

His history: Biden has not managed to put the specter of the Anita Hill hearings behind him. He chaired the Senate Judiciary Committee when Hill testified that Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas sexually harassed her. "Biden failed to use the powers afforded to Senate committee chairmen to conduct a judicious and thorough inquiry in 1991 into Hill's allegations," writes The Post's Elise Viebeck.

Biden now says he regrets how Hill was treated by the all-white, all-male panel. But he has had chances to say "I'm sorry" to Hill and her supporters publicly and has bungled them, as recently as Friday.

Biden has many strengths, too — which is why we're spending so much time talking about him. He's well known among Democratic voters. They apparently want to give him money. His campaign says he raised $6.3 million in the 24 hours since announcing his candidacy, the highest 24-hour haul of any candidate. He's by far the most popular of the centrist-leaning candidates, which will help him stand out. Many Democratic voters say he's "electable." ( The Post's Vanessa Williams argues that could be code for "a straight, white man who won't lose to Trump because he's a minority," but that's another story for another day.)

Biden will continue to shape the political conversation in the Democratic primary. The media will cover him because he is a big name in the field. Is that a perpetuating cycle? Yes, but that's how politics works. In short: Expect Biden to dominate the nomination fight, but don't assume it's his for the taking.

A smart way to view Trump's fights with Congress: As a weak president out of options

President Trump on Friday. (SAUL LOEB / AFP/Getty Images)

Suing a committee chairman and his own accounting firm. Telling people who don't work for him anymore that they can't testify to Congress. Having his personal lawyer tell the Treasury Department not to release Trump's tax returns to Congress.

These are all actions designed to strong-arm a Congress investigating him. But Joshua Huder, a fellow at the Government Affairs Institute at Georgetown University, told me they seem like the moves of a president out of options.

Trump is forced to take the most extreme measures because he doesn't have enough soft power to negotiate with lawmakers behind the scenes, Huder argues. The result is Trump forces himself into high-profile legal and political battles that he has a real risk of losing.

"The president lacks a lot of informal modes of influence," Huder said, "and he can't convince the allies he does have." So the lawsuits keep coming.

Why women of color booed Bernie Sanders this week

Sen. Bernie Sanders, at the She The People forum on Wednesday. (Scott Dalton/Bloomberg)

Talk to Democratic strategists and they'll tell you that whoever wins the nomination must win over black voters. That helps explain why so many Democratic presidential candidates spoke this week at a forum for women of color. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) did not get the reception he was hoping for.

He started off talking about his marching with the Rev. Martin Luther King Jr. There were audible groans in the audience. Why? The Fix's Eugene Scott explains:

"By focusing on a 50-year-old anecdote, Sanders missed a key opportunity to explain what he's done for women of color in the past 10 years, and how he'd tackle today's challenges. And when listeners expressed their frustration, Sanders seemed dismissive and unwilling to engage."

My five minutes are up and we only got through about 1/100th of the political news this week. Have more questions? Of course you do. Consider sending them to my Tuesday live chat, every Tuesday at noon Eastern. Thanks for reading!

 
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